← Yeti Gaming Online Regional Championship 2
Fire EruptingTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Online Regional Championship 2
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 14.0% | 11 | 3-6-2 | 36.4% | 40.0% | 48.0% | -0.9 |
| Wind Allies | 14.0% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.0% | +1.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 13.2% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 40.6% | -7.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 8.8% | 8 | 5-1-2 | 75.0% | 66.7% | 58.4% | +4.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.6% | -7.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 7.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.5% | +1.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.1% | -0.7 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.7% | +1.3 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.6 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Wind Neos | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 45.7% | -4.2 |
Decklists · 8 from this event
The 8 public Fire Erupting decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 11 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 11 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cemetery Sentry | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Arisanna, Lucent Arbiter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword of Adversity | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Focused Flames | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fiery Duelist | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flame Sweep | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cosmic Astroscope | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fireball | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Azure Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |